Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-1
CD Castellón vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
CAS
3 - 2
LOG
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
MLL
4 - 1
CAS
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAS
31%
26%
44%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
CAS
4 - 0
SSC
60%
23%
16%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
CAS
3 - 0
ALZ
84%
11%
6%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
RUN
0 - 1
BAR
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
BAR
2 - 0
HER
85%
11%
4%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAS
31%
26%
44%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
SFC
1 - 1
BAR
27%
28%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
RAC
0 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |