Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-3
CD Castellón vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
RSO
2 - 3
CAS
43%
22%
35%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
CAS
3 - 2
ATM
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAS
53%
21%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
CAS
1 - 2
SEV
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
DEP
3 - 2
CAS
40%
23%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
ESP
7 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
ALC
3 - 1
OSA
62%
19%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
BET
3 - 3
ALC
70%
17%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
ALC
1 - 0
JFC
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALC
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |