Castellón U19 vs Real Murcia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+158%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
10º
9º
33
4º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 70 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 62 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 60 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 56 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 41 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 41 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 33 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 26 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 21 |
15º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
1.5% | 10% |
|
Possible next round
|
5% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellón U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALZ
0 - 2
CAS
33%
24%
44%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
VAL
16%
20%
64%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
ACA
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KEL
1 - 4
CAS
54%
24%
22%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ESC
0 - 2
CAS
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 2
KEL
48%
23%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 0
MUR
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 0
CDR
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
32%
25%
44%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
VAL
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |