Castellón U19 vs Murcia Promises U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
57.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
7º
7º
4
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 68 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 64 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 61 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 57 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 48 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 47 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
10 | 43 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 31 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 30 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 27 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 25 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
12.5% | 19.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
10% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellón U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KEL
1 - 4
CAS
54%
24%
22%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ESC
0 - 2
CAS
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
FUT
40%
23%
38%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ELC
2 - 1
CAS
52%
23%
25%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 0
PAT
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Murcia Promises U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 2
ELC
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ACA
12 - 0
MMC
87%
10%
3%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 1
ACA
25%
23%
53%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ACA
3 - 1
CIE
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 3
ACA
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |