Carrion vs Baltanás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MON
7 - 2
CAR
70%
16%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 2
GUA
54%
20%
26%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
JOP
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 2
CAS
26%
21%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 3
VIL
17%
18%
65%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Baltanás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAL
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CDF
5 - 0
BAL
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
VDB
39%
24%
37%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GRI
3 - 4
BAL
20%
18%
62%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
AST
21%
21%
58%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |