Canindé vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canindé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 2
CDC
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 1
CDC
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CDC
0 - 0
COR
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
CON
4 - 1
CDC
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CDC
2 - 2
SOC
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
SAN
11%
19%
70%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
COR
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 0
SOC
36%
25%
38%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
LAG
25%
24%
52%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 2
EST
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |