Canindé vs Guarany SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
57.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canindé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
FJA
2 - 1
CDC
23%
20%
57%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 1
ECP
36%
22%
42%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
CDC
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
3 - 1
COR
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ECP
0 - 0
CDC
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
6 - 0
COR
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 6 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FJA
1 - 2
GUA
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 0
ECP
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ECP
1 - 1
GUA
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
FJA
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | +1 |