CD Canillas vs CUC Villalba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
15º
13º
31
8º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Canillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 1
CAN
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
POZ
2 - 1
CAN
67%
20%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
GET
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 1
CAN
68%
20%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 1
ARA
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CUC Villalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CVI
1 - 2
POZ
29%
27%
44%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GET
1 - 1
CVI
73%
17%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CVI
2 - 1
CDE
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
CVI
58%
22%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CVI
1 - 2
VAL
23%
25%
52%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |