CD Canillas vs Las Rozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
16º
16º
6
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
6º
|
6 | 69 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 63 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 61 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 58 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 54 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 52 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 52 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 48 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 45 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 41 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 40 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 40 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 34 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 28 |
18º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 31.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4% | 55% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
38.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Canillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
CPO
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAN
62%
22%
17%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
LRZ
1 - 0
CAN
67%
20%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 0
TRC
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RVB
2 - 1
CAN
43%
24%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Las Rozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LRZ
0 - 1
ALC
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TRJ
0 - 1
LRZ
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
LRZ
2 - 1
FUE
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
LRZ
1 - 0
CAN
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TRC
0 - 1
LRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |