Calero vs Ojos de Garza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.7%
14.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+775%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 0
VDC
66%
16%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
UDL
0 - 3
CAL
31%
19%
51%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CAL
3 - 0
ING
66%
16%
18%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
DOR
3 - 1
CAL
60%
18%
22%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 0
CAL
33%
19%
48%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ojos de Garza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
OJO
2 - 1
TCO
32%
21%
48%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
VDC
1 - 2
OJO
68%
17%
15%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
OJO
0 - 3
UDL
32%
21%
47%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ING
4 - 3
OJO
42%
21%
37%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 0
OJO
74%
15%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |