Calero vs Valdecasas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.3%
17.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+775%
+125%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
UDL
0 - 3
CAL
31%
19%
51%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CAL
3 - 0
ING
66%
16%
18%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
DOR
3 - 1
CAL
60%
18%
22%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 0
CAL
33%
19%
48%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
4 - 2
MAJ
67%
16%
17%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valdecasas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
VDC
1 - 2
OJO
68%
17%
15%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
TCO
2 - 2
VDC
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
VDC
1 - 2
EST
44%
21%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 2
VDC
32%
22%
47%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
VDC
8 - 0
ING
64%
18%
18%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |