Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-2
CD Calahorra vs CP Cacereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Calahorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
PON
2 - 1
CLH
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
CLH
1 - 1
PEG
45%
31%
24%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
TUD
3 - 0
CLH
72%
19%
9%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
CLH
0 - 0
COL
50%
31%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
TAL
1 - 0
CLH
61%
21%
19%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
XER
2 - 0
CPC
67%
21%
12%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
CPC
1 - 1
CDZ
60%
26%
15%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
CDB
1 - 1
CPC
61%
24%
15%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
CPC
0 - 0
CDB
66%
23%
11%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
SEV
3 - 3
CPC
49%
29%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |