Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-4
CD Calahorra vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Calahorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
IZA
1 - 4
CLH
21%
24%
56%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CLH
5 - 1
PEÑ
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
AGD
3 - 0
CLH
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
SAB
1 - 1
CLH
11%
20%
70%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
CLH
4 - 2
LOG
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
AGD
2 - 0
CDZ
75%
18%
7%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
ALM
2 - 1
AGD
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
AGD
3 - 0
CLH
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
AGD
3 - 0
SEV
77%
17%
6%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
FCB
1 - 1
AGD
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |