CD Burgalés vs Arandina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Burgalés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SEG
5 - 0
CDB
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
CDB
1 - 1
BUR
23%
27%
51%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CDB
1 - 1
AVI
14%
22%
65%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CDB
1 - 2
NUM
15%
22%
63%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 2
CDB
57%
23%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ACF
3 - 2
MIR
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
CEB
3 - 2
ACF
16%
23%
61%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ACF
2 - 1
CEB
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
RBU
0 - 3
ACF
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ACF
0 - 0
NUM
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |