Burgos International vs Villarcayo Nela B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos International
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
SAL
68%
17%
16%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 1
BUR
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SPD
0 - 4
BUR
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MON
0 - 2
BUR
15%
17%
68%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BUR
3 - 0
ALC
75%
15%
11%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
MON
27%
21%
52%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 0
VIL
71%
16%
13%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
SCC
48%
23%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 1
VIL
85%
10%
6%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
JCC
11%
17%
72%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |