Bugarra vs A. Moncadense B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+164%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AVL
2 - 3
BUG
14%
16%
70%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CRK
3 - 4
BUG
36%
22%
43%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BUG
4 - 1
PTN
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PCF
4 - 0
BUG
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BUG
4 - 1
BEN
79%
12%
9%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
A. Moncadense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VAL
2 - 2
ATM
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CFO
1 - 5
ATM
34%
21%
45%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ATM
3 - 2
AVL
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ATM
3 - 0
GNA
54%
20%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CRK
0 - 0
ATM
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |