Boecillo vs Unión Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boecillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
3 - 2
BOE
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BOE
4 - 3
UDS
35%
22%
43%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RAY
0 - 2
BOE
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BOE
3 - 4
RIO
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ATO
4 - 1
BOE
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 4
BET
71%
16%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LAG
0 - 4
UNI
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
ARC
50%
22%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 3
UNI
23%
20%
57%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
6 - 3
UVA
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |