Biarense A vs Novelda UCF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biarense A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 1
BIA
86%
10%
4%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
BIA
0 - 3
ELC
18%
19%
64%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PEA
2 - 1
BIA
56%
20%
24%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
7 - 1
BIA
71%
16%
14%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
BIA
2 - 2
MON
28%
20%
51%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NUC
1 - 2
ONI
8%
12%
81%
|
6 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NUC
0 - 7
AGO
9%
13%
79%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UDL
8 - 0
NUC
79%
13%
9%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 2
CAS
12%
14%
74%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 1
ASP
23%
19%
58%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |