Cd Belenense vs UD Bienvenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
62.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cd Belenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDB
2 - 5
UDF
17%
20%
63%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CPG
4 - 0
CDB
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CDB
1 - 0
GEV
22%
22%
57%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CPC
2 - 1
CDB
81%
13%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 0
MON
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Bienvenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BIE
3 - 2
CPG
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZAF
3 - 1
BIE
17%
21%
61%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BIE
1 - 0
BAR
40%
22%
38%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
BIE
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BIE
0 - 1
SBA
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |