CD Baio vs Sporting Estrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
70.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Baio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NEG
4 - 0
BAY
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MAZ
0 - 0
BAY
25%
23%
52%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 2
CAL
36%
23%
41%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
EST
2 - 3
BAY
45%
23%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 4
CLU
9%
16%
76%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Estrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
PUE
70%
17%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
EST
11%
19%
70%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
EST
9 - 1
TOU
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SCB
0 - 7
EST
7%
15%
78%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
EST
3 - 0
COG
67%
19%
15%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |