CDB Base B vs Pegaso Tres Cantos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
45.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+410%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDB Base B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TRC
1 - 1
BAS
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 3
RDM
32%
20%
47%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ESC
1 - 3
BAS
38%
21%
42%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 2
MSP
37%
21%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ALA
4 - 2
BAS
57%
19%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pegaso Tres Cantos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PBT
6 - 1
VEL
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MOL
0 - 3
PBT
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PBT
3 - 0
FSA
66%
17%
18%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAG
2 - 1
PBT
16%
17%
67%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PBT
3 - 0
VAL
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | +1 |