CD Avance vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Avance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
DOS
73%
17%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SAG
4 - 0
AVA
54%
23%
23%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
AVI
1 - 2
AVA
40%
24%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
RCA
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
COL
0 - 2
AVA
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 0
BPI
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
TOB
0 - 3
ARA
20%
23%
57%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 1
ALC
43%
25%
32%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SAG
1 - 0
ARA
51%
24%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AVI
0 - 5
ARA
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |