CD Aurrera Vitoria vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
5.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
AUR
32%
30%
38%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 2
NOJ
48%
28%
24%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
TAL
1 - 2
AUR
51%
27%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
GIM
37%
30%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
RAC
0 - 1
AUR
48%
27%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
RUN
0 - 1
LOG
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BIN
0 - 2
RUN
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
RUN
5 - 1
CLH
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
RUN
2 - 0
PEÑ
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
GER
1 - 2
RUN
24%
30%
46%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |