Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-0
CD Aurrera Vitoria vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
ATH
2 - 3
AUR
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
AUR
1 - 2
OSA
52%
27%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
BAR
2 - 0
AUR
58%
25%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
AUR
0 - 1
CLU
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
VAL
2 - 0
AUR
31%
29%
39%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
CHA
61%
23%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
AOI
0 - 0
PEÑ
21%
26%
53%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
AZK
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
HAR
0 - 0
PEÑ
14%
24%
63%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
ART
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |