CD Aurrera Vitoria vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
32%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PON
1 - 0
AUR
55%
26%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CAU
0 - 2
AUR
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
CEL
49%
29%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ALA
0 - 0
AUR
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
ATH
33%
30%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
CEL
44%
30%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ALA
2 - 1
GER
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
ATH
29%
30%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ZAM
2 - 2
GER
62%
21%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
GIM
31%
30%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |