CD Aurrera Vitoria vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
LEM
3 - 0
AUR
35%
30%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
AUR
1 - 1
ATH
35%
29%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
AUR
1 - 0
TRO
60%
25%
15%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
CUL
2 - 1
AUR
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
AUR
0 - 1
UBC
53%
27%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
GER
1 - 3
TRO
57%
26%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
CUL
2 - 1
GER
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
GER
2 - 2
UBC
45%
29%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
AMU
0 - 0
GER
52%
24%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
GER
2 - 1
ELG
49%
28%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |