CD Aurrera Vitoria vs Alegría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
IKE
0 - 1
AUR
11%
16%
74%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ADC
2 - 2
AUR
9%
14%
78%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AUR
8 - 0
ELP
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 0
AUR
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 0
CDL
74%
15%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 2
ALE
56%
22%
22%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 3
DAC
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
ALE
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ZAR
0 - 3
ALE
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 1
ZUI
46%
23%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |