CD Aurrerá Vitoria Sub 19 vs Athletic U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
9º
15º
14º
72
2º
18º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrerá Vitoria Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
CDA
18%
23%
59%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
4 - 0
HER
69%
19%
13%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BCF
0 - 6
CDA
26%
23%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 2
ZAR
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 3
DEP
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
3 - 1
DAN
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ANT
3 - 0
ATH
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 3
REA
51%
20%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DUR
0 - 1
ATH
19%
19%
63%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 3
BEA
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |