Independiente FC vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 0
IND
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
CDD
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
IND
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
CHA
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PAS
3 - 0
IND
46%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MUN
2 - 0
AGU
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SFC
1 - 0
MUN
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
MUN
4 - 2
MET
37%
27%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 0
FIR
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
MUN
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |