Independiente FC vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
JOC
1 - 2
IND
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
IND
0 - 2
MET
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 1
IND
40%
24%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
AGU
25%
21%
54%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
MUN
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FIR
0 - 1
AGU
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
FAS
2 - 1
FIR
68%
21%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
FIR
3 - 0
CDD
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FIR
2 - 1
PAS
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
FIR
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |