Independiente FC vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SFC
3 - 2
IND
44%
25%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
IND
2 - 2
AGU
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
4 - 0
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
IND
2 - 3
ALI
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
IND
4 - 3
MET
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
MET
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 2
CDD
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FAS
1 - 1
CHA
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
PAS
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |