Independiente FC vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.8%
72.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
17.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MUN
2 - 3
IND
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
IND
0 - 5
SAN
21%
27%
52%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
JOC
0 - 1
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
IND
0 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
ONC
1 - 1
IND
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 0
AGU
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 4
ALI
7%
19%
74%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
TAU
1 - 0
ALI
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 0
ALI
15%
24%
61%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 0
TAU
61%
21%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |