Atletico Rafal vs Murense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATL
31%
25%
44%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 1
UDA
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
UDA
1 - 2
ATL
44%
25%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
UDR
1 - 0
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
UDR
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATL
31%
25%
44%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 0
CEX
41%
25%
35%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CEX
4 - 0
MUR
41%
24%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 0
UDA
40%
25%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALL
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |