Atletico Rafal vs Alqueria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 2
CMI
47%
23%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CMI
2 - 0
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
ATL
25%
24%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 2
UNI
75%
16%
10%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
MUR
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alqueria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UDA
2 - 0
ALQ
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALQ
2 - 2
UDA
30%
25%
45%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ALQ
1 - 2
UDR
24%
24%
52%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UDR
4 - 0
ALQ
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SER
4 - 1
ALQ
49%
22%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |