At. Nazaret vs Malilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+171%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nazaret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SBE
3 - 3
NAZ
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NAZ
4 - 3
RUM
12%
16%
72%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
NAZ
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAZ
4 - 4
CSE
18%
18%
64%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
NAZ
1 - 4
TOA
74%
14%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Malilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DIS
2 - 6
MAL
52%
21%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 3
SER
13%
16%
71%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
HIS
3 - 0
MAL
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 1
SBE
29%
22%
50%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RUM
1 - 1
MAL
76%
14%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |