Atl. Mansillés vs Becerril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
18º
17º
2
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
16º
|
0 | 79 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 73 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 66 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 65 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 62 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
2 | 52 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 48 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 48 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 48 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 46 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 46 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 43 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 41 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 40 |
16º
|
8% | |
|
|
17º
|
0 | 34 |
17º
|
10% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 34 |
18º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 32 |
19º
|
18.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
37.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
59% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mansillés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
VIL
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CFB
1 - 0
ATL
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 2
CDM
44%
24%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
ATL
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
TUR
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Becerril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SDA
2 - 3
BEC
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BEC
0 - 0
TOR
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BEC
0 - 1
CAB
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDL
3 - 2
BEC
21%
24%
55%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BEC
2 - 1
CAT
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |