Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 0-1
Atlético Baleares vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
ACE
3 - 2
ATB
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
ATB
0 - 2
GAN
42%
27%
31%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
VAL
4 - 0
ATB
85%
11%
5%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
ATB
3 - 0
GIM
47%
27%
26%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +3 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
EUR
4 - 0
ATB
56%
25%
19%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
MUR
5 - 2
AGD
82%
13%
6%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
RJA
0 - 2
MUR
25%
29%
46%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
MUR
1 - 0
BAL
81%
14%
6%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
CDB
3 - 1
MUR
26%
29%
45%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
MUR
4 - 0
ADL
88%
9%
3%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | +1 |