Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 7-1
Atlético Baleares vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ATB
0 - 2
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
ATB
1 - 0
HUR
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LLO
1 - 0
ATB
16%
23%
61%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
BAD
0 - 1
ATB
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SAB
2 - 1
ATB
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
8 - 0
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
YEC
1 - 0
LOR
65%
19%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 0
MAR
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 0
PLU
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
EGP
2 - 1
LOR
41%
24%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |