Atletico Aluche vs Buenavista Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
13.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Aluche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
PIQ
3 - 1
AAC
41%
22%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AAC
4 - 3
ASO
72%
15%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
AAC
38%
21%
41%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AAC
3 - 1
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GND
0 - 1
AAC
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Buenavista Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
BVC
6 - 6
LMA
25%
21%
54%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
EVM
0 - 0
BVC
83%
11%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BVC
1 - 3
LMJ
59%
19%
22%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PVA
4 - 2
BVC
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BVC
4 - 1
ESC
23%
21%
56%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +2 |