Atlético Mengibar vs Mancha Real B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+177%
+159%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Mengibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
IDJ
5 - 3
CDA
50%
23%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDH
1 - 0
CDA
49%
22%
28%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CDA
0 - 0
ADL
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 3
NAV
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
7 - 0
CDA
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mancha Real B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 3
ADL
40%
21%
39%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 0
MAN
85%
10%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
CAR
13%
17%
70%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 6
VIL
13%
18%
69%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 2
MAN
81%
12%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |