Atlético Mengibar vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
52.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+177%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Mengibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDA
74%
15%
12%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 4
CDV
32%
23%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 1
CDA
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 3
MAN
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
IDJ
5 - 3
CDA
50%
23%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BAE
3 - 1
ADL
61%
20%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NAV
3 - 1
BAE
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BAE
0 - 1
CAR
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
BAE
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAE
0 - 3
ATL
41%
22%
37%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |