Astudillo vs Guardense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astudillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
JOP
1 - 3
AST
13%
17%
71%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AST
3 - 3
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 5
AST
53%
20%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AST
4 - 3
CDF
52%
20%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
VDB
1 - 3
AST
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guardense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 3
CDV
16%
15%
69%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 1
GUA
24%
19%
57%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 3
ATA
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CER
7 - 0
GUA
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
PAL
72%
15%
13%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -1 |