Astudillo vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astudillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AST
4 - 1
CDV
70%
16%
15%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
UDB
0 - 5
AST
9%
14%
77%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
AST
4 - 1
ATA
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AST
6 - 0
PAL
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 2
AST
17%
20%
63%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
MON
25%
22%
54%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CDV
1 - 1
CAS
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
7 - 1
GUA
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
JOP
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 0
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |