Arinaga vs Calero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
15.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
47.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2.3%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
14%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1185%
+775%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arinaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
OJO
1 - 2
ANG
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
ANG
5 - 0
TCO
56%
20%
25%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
VDC
4 - 1
ANG
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 1
UDL
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ING
0 - 0
ANG
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Calero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
4 - 2
MAJ
67%
16%
17%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
LRO
1 - 0
CAL
24%
17%
59%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
MOG
26%
20%
54%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
LHU
1 - 0
CAL
29%
17%
53%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 0
SDT
52%
19%
29%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |