Argentino Monte Maíz vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
2º
25
7º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino Monte Maíz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CIB
1 - 1
CDA
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 0
SPB
20%
21%
60%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
CDA
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 2
CSE
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
DCM
1 - 2
CDA
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 1
CSE
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
SPE
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
SPE
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 0
CIB
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPE
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |