Argentino Monte Maíz vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino Monte Maíz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
CDA
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 0
JUU
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 1
CDA
36%
25%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CDA
3 - 1
CDC
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SDM
1 - 1
CDA
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
IND
3 - 1
SPE
41%
29%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SPE
0 - 2
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CSE
4 - 1
SPE
44%
27%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 1
DCM
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
SPE
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |