Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 5-4
CF Ardoi vs CD Huarte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Ardoi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 1
CDA
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 1
PEÑ
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
CDA
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDA
0 - 1
CHA
70%
19%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HUA
0 - 4
CDA
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
CD Huarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 1
CDA
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
HUA
40%
27%
33%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 0
COR
42%
27%
32%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
HUA
18%
22%
61%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HUA
0 - 4
CDA
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -3 |