Arces vs CD Victoria CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
68.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+122%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 2
ARC
34%
22%
44%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
3 - 0
UVA
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PED
5 - 2
ARC
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 4
UNI
19%
20%
61%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
ARC
71%
18%
12%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Victoria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VIC
3 - 1
RIO
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 3
VIC
8%
13%
79%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VIC
3 - 1
ATO
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
UVA
3 - 3
VIC
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VIC
3 - 1
MED
57%
19%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |