Arces vs CD Don Bosco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+228%
+802%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
PIO
1 - 0
ARC
28%
23%
50%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ARC
4 - 4
RAY
32%
23%
46%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ARC
4 - 0
MIG
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 0
ARC
60%
22%
18%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 4
UVA
18%
19%
63%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
MIG
3 - 0
BOS
64%
18%
18%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RAC
3 - 1
BOS
64%
21%
16%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BOS
1 - 6
UVA
14%
17%
69%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 0
BOS
43%
22%
34%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BOS
0 - 2
BOE
28%
23%
49%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |