Arces vs Universidad de Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
73.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+454%
-91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PED
5 - 2
ARC
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 4
UNI
19%
20%
61%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
ARC
71%
18%
12%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
0 - 1
UDS
15%
18%
67%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 2
ARC
41%
22%
37%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad de Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
UVA
5 - 2
AGU
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
UVA
3 - 3
VIC
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PED
2 - 0
UVA
16%
18%
67%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
UVA
0 - 2
UNI
75%
15%
11%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
1 - 2
UVA
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |